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Rainfall in lowveld & surrounding area for last 24 hrs ending 8 a.m. today .

NGA
ACORNHOEK POLICE ARS 198
BARBERTON PRISON ARS 02
BELFAST 04
KRUGER MPUMALANGA INT. AIR. 45
MACHADODORP AWS 02
MIDDELBURG - TNK ARS 01
NELSPRUIT 34
SKUKUZA 140
LIMPOPO PROVINCE
HAENERTSBURG ARS 104
HOEDSPRUIT 107
LEPHALALE 06
LEVUBU 30
MARA 42
MARKEN 34
PHALABORWA AIRPORT AWS 24
POLOKWANE WO 10
PUNDA MARIA 19
ROODEWAL BOS ARS 91
THOHOYANDOU WO 16
TZANEEN-WESTFALIA ESTATE61
VENETIA MINE 11

But :

http://www.weatherphotos.co.za/guestbook1.html


2107. Keith Barlow - 2012-01-19 11:52:27
Both systems (Mozambique Channel storm 8 and Indian Ocean storm 7) now upgraded to tropical storms by CIMSS. The one in the Channel is expected to move fairly slowly towards Mozambique by initial estimates and needs to be monitored.

Image of system .

http://weatherphotos.co.za/photos/saeast_rain.jpg

The report of another cyclone developing off Moz is also reported here:


http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/tropical-cyclone-threat-to-sou-1/60405

This figure is in feet !

093. Tony Swemmer - 2012-01-18 13:45:27
Our weather station on road to top of Mariepskop Mountain (Mpumalanga), at 1300m altitude, has recorded 415mm between midnight and 1pm today!

Tropical storm tracking : "black indicates high probability of rainfall" .

08h00 vs 11hoo



http://www.weatherphotos.co.za/#

Note : do the following on large photo when opening on above website :

PREVIOUS PHOTO- PUT(DON'T CLICK) MOUSE ON PHOTO ABOVE - WAIT TILL FULLY DOWNLOADED- MOVE MOUSE IN AND OUT OF PHOTO AREA TO SEE THE DIFFERENCES - CREATING A MINI ANIMATION. UPDATED: 05:00, 08:00, 11:00, 14:00, 17:30 and 20:00

A lot can change - there is a possibility that it could dissipate - it is at this stage difficult to predict - one can only wait and watch .

Read here :

http://www.weatherphotos.co.za/guestbook1.html

I'm in the park at the moment - camping in Satara. Links are very slow and I'd rather sit outside and listen to the lions roar

Brief update on my visit so far. We had to evac from Maroela day before yesterday - yes, the Timbavati burst it's banks and flooded into the campsite along the fence. Not much damage though but in Tambotie ten tents as well as part of the fence washed away. Some people stayed overnight at a college camp close by, we where lucky to get one of the chalets at Orpen.

We left our caravan on higher ground for the night (in the middle of the road just where the road split to Tambotie) and got to Orpen via a back road guided by Richard (the section ranger). Some once-in-a-lifetime phodies will follow in my trip report when we get back in 11 days time. This morning Maroela was still very wet and the duty manager recommended we move to Satara where it will be safer.

Did that and took a drive out to see the damage done at Tshokwane - truly unbelievable.

Chat again soon

Tropical storm upgraded to a cyclone named Funso - no surety of its direction of travel yet .



Image as at 07h00

Cyclone Funso is moving southwards ...

http://www.weatherphotos.co.za/guestbook1.html

SPECIAL WEATHER INFORMATION TO PEOPLE IN MOZAMBIQUE AND MADAGASCAR- ALSO ALL WHO USE THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL IN THE NEXT DAYS; VERY HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE.
Issued at 14;46 on 20-01-2012
See;
http://www.weatherphotos.co.za/rain_wxmaps_sixdays.html
Kobus Botha
Kobus Botha Weather

http://www.weatherphotos.co.za/guestbook1.html



satellite image 11h00 20 Jan



satellite image 07h00 21 Jan



Expected path of Funso

ROPICAL CYCLONE FUNSO; CITIES AND TOWNS WHICH MIGHT BE INFLUENCED IN MOZAMBIQUE at 08;59 on 21-01-2012;

Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 24 hours
Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 24 hours
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machece (19.2 S, 35.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Source; TSR.
Kobus Botha

Looks like Kruger will be spared and have some time to recover

http://www.weatherphotos.co.za/guestbook1.html

The prediction is that the system will be moving to the south east .

This may change , though .

http://www.weatherphotos.co.za/index.html

ON THE SAT IMAGE ON ABOVE HOMEPAGE DO THE FOLLOWING
"PUT(DON'T CLICK) MOUSE ON PHOTO ABOVE - WAIT TILL FULLY DOWNLOADED- MOVE MOUSE IN AND OUT OF PHOTO AREA TO SEE THE DIFFERENCES - CREATING A MINI ANIMATION. UPDATED: 05:00, 08:00, 11:00, 14:00, 17:30 and 20:00 ."

Also see 2A for an animation of storm movement on the above homepage .

What is the weather like in Southern Kruger now?
The 7 day forecast says rain everyday! Are these likely to be fair days with a thunderstorm? or drizzly dark days?

Rain forecast .

http://www.weatherphotos.co.za/rain-for ... weeks.html

Recent rainfall (I assume it excludes localised / scattered showers)

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... cpcp11.gif

MPUMALANGA

BELFAST 173
BETHAL 88
CAROLINA 12
ERMELO WO 110
KRUGER MPUMALANGA INT. AIR. 265
MACHADODORP AWS 133
NELSPRUIT 215
SKUKUZA 36
WITBANK 92

LIMPOPO

ALLDAYS HALY ARS 46
HAENERTSBURG ARS 224
HANS MERENSKY N.S 103
HOEDSPRUIT 440
LEPHALALE 66
LEVUBU 187
MARA 111
MARKEN 86
MOKOPANE 41
PHALABORWA AIRPORT AWS 159
POLOKWANE WO 68
PUNDA MARIA 35
THABAZIMBI 37
THOHOYANDOU WO 128
TOM BURKE S.A.P.S. ARS 210
TZANEEN-WESTFALIA ESTATE 61
VENETIA MINE 42
VILLA NORA-POL 40
WARMBAD TOWOOMBA 81
WATERPOORT 37

Interesting to note the great variation in rainfall. Southern Kruger flooded, yet Skukuza only received 36 mm, which is two-thirds less than normal. Punda Maria had to settle for 35 mm, Pafuri Camp got 75, and EcoTraining just up the road from there 242 mm.

Johan

Some rainfall in 24 hr period ending 8 a.m 19 Feb.

ACORNHOEK POLICE ARS 40
BARBERTON PRISON ARS 03
KRUGER MPUMALANGA INT. AIR. 45
NELSPRUIT 80
SKUKUZA 26